Table 3

Aspects of association to consider prior to the provisional inference of causation as proposed by Sir Austin Bradford Hill (Adapted from [1])

Criteria
Description

Strength
Correlation or relative measures of effect (i.e. risk ratio)
Consistency
Across variable studies in design, populations, settings, circumstances, and time
Specificity
Intervention causes the effect
Temporality
Intervention precedes effect
Biologic Gradient
Dose-response curve between intervention and effect
Plausibility
Based on the current biologic knowledge of mechanisms of disease
Coherence
In the context of knowledge of natural history and related treatments
Experiment
Prospective clinical investigations of hypotheses

Bagshaw and Bellomo Philosophy, Ethics, and Humanities in Medicine 2008 3:23   doi:10.1186/1747-5341-3-23